Every recommendation this system makes is logged before the week is played and scored against what actually happened. This page shows only graded, finished weeks — never live advice.
Weeks graded
0
Weeks logged
1
Metrics version
2026-08-22.1
Graded at
2026-09-08T22:18
Nothing has been graded against actuals yet: 2026 week 1 has not been played. The numbers below are the metrics waiting for it, not results.
Headlines
No week has been graded against actuals yet.
No waiver target has been graded yet.
No close call has been graded yet.
No streaming pick has been graded yet.
308 shown players across 3 valid draft(s): predicted 57% available on average, 57% actually were; worst 0.1-0.9 bin off by 0.1659. Only 3 independent observation(s) so far (n_independent < 30) — a sighting, not a result.
no logged draft's season has been played yet
56 upside claims logged; the drafted season has not been played yet
no flag list for this season (analysis.json is built for the upcoming season; a season's flags can only be graded once that season has been played)
no calls logged yet — `python -m ffwr.call "Player" breakout` adds one
Metrics
Which source ranks a week best
Which source ranks a week best — FantasyPros ECR, Sleeper's projection, or our ensemble?
No week has been graded against actuals yet.
n=0 graded weeks
Waiver list order
Is the waiver list in the right order, and did the adds beat the drops?
No waiver target has been graded yet.
n=0 graded weeks
Start / sit calls
Were the start/sit calls right, and how much would the recommended lineup have left on the bench?
No close call has been graded yet.
n=0 graded weeks
K / DEF streaming order
Is the K / DEF streaming order right?
No streaming pick has been graded yet.
n=0 graded weeks
Draft P(available at my next pick)
When the draft assistant said a player had a p% chance of lasting to my next pick, did p% of them last?
308 shown players across 3 valid draft(s): predicted 57% available on average, 57% actually were; worst 0.1-0.9 bin off by 0.1659. Only 3 independent observation(s) so far (n_independent < 30) — a sighting, not a result.
n=308 valid drafts
Draft regret vs the alternatives shown
Did the players the engine was showing beat the player I actually took?
no logged draft's season has been played yet
n=0 graded picks
Late-round upside chips
Do the late-round darts the panel put an UPSIDE chip on actually hit?
56 upside claims logged; the drafted season has not been played yet
n=0 players shown with an upside chip
Breakout / regression flags
Do the breakout and regression flags land?
no flag list for this season (analysis.json is built for the upcoming season; a season's flags can only be graded once that season has been played)
n=0 flagged players
Jordan vs model
Do Jordan's own calls beat the model's flags, and each other by confidence?
no calls logged yet — `python -m ffwr.call "Player" breakout` adds one
n=0 distinct player x horizon
Per week
Week
Played
Logged
With actuals
Verdict
2026 wk 1
not yet
74
0
Source ranking: not graded (no player has an actual and all three predictors this week).
the late-round upside weight (draft.weights.upside) — nothing yet — needs 30 players shown with an upside chip, has 0
Nothing on this page is a live recommendation: no FAAB figure, no current-week waiver target, no roster. It is the scoreboard, kept so the system can be judged on it.